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By
CYNTHIA CROSSEN
‘How
shall I attempt to describe the most awful calamity which
has ever visited these United States?” wrote Philip Hone,
a businessman and former mayor of New York, in his diary.
“I am fatigued in body, disturbed in mind, and my fancy
filled with images of horror which my pen is inadequate to
describe.”
The
date was Dec. 17, 1835, and lower Manhattan lay in ruins.
Some 700 buildings covering 52 acres—the heart of New
York’s flourishing business district—had been
incinerated by an accidental fire so intense that copper
roofs and iron shutters poured hissing metal onto the
streets. Volunteer firefighters from around the region
hauled their hand pumps through the snow to the site, only
to watch helplessly as gale-force winds spread flames from
one building to 50.
By
the time the fire was extinguished, a quarter of Manhattan
had been reduced to cinders. Gone were the Post Office, the
Stock Exchange, the recently completed Merchants’ Exchange
and hundreds of small businesses and warehouses. The fire
claimed only two lives. But the other costs were
astronomical: $20 million in property damage and more than
4,000 out of work.
“Many
who at sunset on the 16th of December were rich and
prosperous, found themselves on the next rising of that sun
reduced to indigence,” wrote Eliza Leslie in an 1838 issue
of Parley’s magazine.
This
was the first time New York City would have to rebuild
itself from the ground up, and many doubted it could be
done. City officials applied for federal aid but were turned
down. At the same time, 23 of the city’s 26 fire-insurance
companies declared bankruptcy, unable to pay what they owed.
But
New Yorkers then, as now, couldn’t abandon this hub of
capitalism and opportunity. Even as the fire smoldered (it
took two weeks to quench), shop owners and manufacturers
began looking for other places to operate temporarily, while
drawing plans for bigger, more modern buildings. The
Delmonico brothers, who opened America’s first French
restaurant, watched the blaze reduce much of their life’s
work to ash. Two months later, they reopened at a temporary
location while building a big, new facility with marble
columns from Pompeii. Lower Manhattan, a year after its
destruction, was almost completely rebuilt, with, Mr. Hone
wrote, “more splendor than before.”
The
Great Fire of 1835, like future catastrophes, transformed
lower Manhattan. In this case, New York’s business
community was galvanized to make long-postponed
improvements. Narrow, crooked streets that had impeded
traffic were straightened and widened. The first zoning
regulations eliminated shared walls in some areas, and
foot-thick granite replaced brick-and-wood facades. A new
water system was hurried along. The fire department
reorganized. Far from driving people out, the fire and
resulting rebuilding helped push the value of Manhattan real
estate to $233 million from $143 million in one year.
By
1836, many New Yorkers were “in good spirits,” wrote C.
Foster in his “Account of the Conflagration.” “Smiling
faces and cheerful countenances meet us at every corner, and
demonstrate that there is an elasticity in the character of
our people which always enables them to rise above the most
overwhelming evils.”
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By
JON E. HILSENRATH
More
than a year after the Sept. 11 terror attacks, much of the
economic news from New York City and state officials seems
grim. Unemployment has risen sharply, budget deficits are
widening, tourists are spending less and Wall Street has
lost its swagger.
But
New York’s recovery is not nearly as weak as it first
appears. Of the 100,000 jobs that left lower Manhattan
immediately after the attacks, nearly 80% remain somewhere
in the city. Housing prices in the city and surrounding
suburbs have risen 22% from a year ago, the largest increase
in the nation. And despite fears that companies would flee
New York in droves, occupancy rates have held up, even in
landmark buildings like the Empire State Building, which is
still 90% occupied.
“This
indicates confidence in the city’s future,” says Rae
Rosen, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
New
York’s grit actually isn’t that unique. A growing body
of research shows cities have an unusual ability to bounce
back from war and terrorism. Columbia University professors
Donald Davis and David Weinstein say their research shows
that local economies tend to recover quickly from even the
most violent shocks. For example, city populations in Japan
tended to return to prewar sizes even after Allied bombing
devastated their landscapes during World War II. In most
cases, local industries were just as resilient as
populations. Hiroshima, one of the two cities hit by atomic
bombs, was a center for machinery making before World War
II. By 1969, Hiroshima’s share of machinery-industry
output had recovered to twice its prewar size.
This
resilience is partly due to geography. Cities with natural
gifts—like deep ports or access to rivers—retain and
take advantage of those gifts after war. Cities also tend to
attract deep concentrations of people with specific know-how
and talents, and they develop a local infrastructure to
nurture that know-how. “To use an analogy, if a forest is
destroyed by fire, it is only a matter of time before the
same types of plants and animals will return,” says Mr.
Weinstein.
That
is an important finding for New York, because of its
implications for the financial industry, the lifeblood of
the local economy. Some big financial firms have shifted
operations outside of New York. But Mr. Davis says he sees
little evidence that New York’s long-term place as the
country’s financial hub is at risk.
This
is not to say New York doesn’t face serious challenges.
The shock of last year’s terror attack has been
exacerbated by the worst bear market since the Great
Depression and by accounting scandals that have tarnished
Wall Street’s reputation. The city’s budget is another
glaring problem. The loss of business in lower Manhattan
knocked out more than $1 billion in annual tax revenue. That
could lead to higher taxes or reduced services, making New
York a less desirable place to live and work.
Moreover,
because insurers fear that New York remains a prime target
of future terrorist actions, rates for worker’s
compensation and property insurance are soaring, adding to
the costs of living and doing business in the city.
But
judging from how the city handled last year’s terrorist
attack, these longer-run problems seem much less likely to
knock New York City off its pedestal today than they did a
year ago.
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